There's an interesting article at the Boston Globe which brings up the question of whether or not excluding the population which is both white and Hispanic when discussing race in the future begs the question of whether or not there will be a white minority in the coming years:
But there was another problem with all this coverage of how white America is becoming a minority: The Census Bureau never said it.I don't really have any opinion myself on this right now - but it's definitely something to chew on.
You can see the numbers for yourself on the Census Bureau website. In a spreadsheet titled "Projections of the Population by Race and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2008 to 2050," the bureau forecasts a rise in the number of whites from about 243 million today to 325 million at midcentury - an increase of 82 million. A related spreadsheet gives the percentages: Whites today account for nearly 80 percent of the US population. In 2050, they'll constitute 74 percent - still a very hefty majority.
So what explains the persistent drumbeat about the impending white minority? A statistical distortion: the exclusion of Hispanic whites. If only non-Hispanic whites are counted, the white population today amounts to 66 percent of the total, and will hit around 46 percent by 2050.
But excluding whites of Hispanic origin from the overall white population makes no more sense than excluding whites of Slavic or Scandinavian origin.